Farul Constanţa Wvs
Sparta Praha W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farul Constanţa W 0-4 Sparta Praha W
Original prediction
Sparta Praha W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.84 | 13.3% | 26.5% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.08 | 17.8% | 25.4% | 7.6 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.9% | 48.0% | -20.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha W
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Sparta Praha W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 23 · GA 9 · avg 4.60/1.80
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20