Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farsta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Farsta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Haninge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Farsta hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Farsta holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Farsta
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
7.8%
Farsta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40