Farsley Celtic FCvs
Chorley
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Farsley Celtic FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chorley are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Farsley Celtic FC hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the National League - North, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60