Faroe Islandsvs
Slovakia
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Nations League · 10/2/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slovakia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia
Original prediction
Slovakia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.45 | 14.5% | 26.9% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.8% | 27.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.52 | 61.6% | 45.5% | -16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Slovakia
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Slovakia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80