Faroe Islandsvs
Kazakhstan
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Nations League · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Faroe Islands · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Faroe Islands 1-1 Kazakhstan
Original prediction
Faroe Islands
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 41.3% | 51.0% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 30.2% | 27.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.6% | 21.8% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Projected Score
Faroe Islands 1–0 Kazakhstan
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Faroe Islands
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Faroe Islands has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80