Faroe Islands U21vs
Luxembourg U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Faroe Islands U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Faroe Islands U21 0-1 Luxembourg U21
Original prediction
Faroe Islands U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.4% | 49.9% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.3% | 24.6% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.2% | 25.5% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Faroe Islands U21
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Faroe Islands U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80