Faroe Islands U21vs
Iceland U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iceland U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Faroe Islands U21 0-2 Iceland U21
Original prediction
Iceland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.02 | 11.3% | 12.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.7% | 18.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 69.0% | 69.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Iceland U21
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
69.3%
Iceland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40