Farnham Townvs
Truro City
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Truro City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farnham Town 2-2 Truro City
Original prediction
Truro City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.14 | 28.7% | 31.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 29.5% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.1% | 39.6% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Truro City
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Truro City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60