Farnham Townvs
Salisbury
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salisbury · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farnham Town 1-2 Salisbury
Original prediction
Salisbury
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.3% | 30.2% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.3% | 28.7% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.4% | 41.1% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Salisbury
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40