Farnboroughvs
Tonbridge Angels
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farnborough · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farnborough 0-4 Tonbridge Angels
Original prediction
Farnborough
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.2% | 37.1% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 27.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.0% | 35.9% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Farnborough
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Farnborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40