Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202615:00Updated today
Farnborough

Farnborough

Home
vs
15:00
Bath City

Bath City

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Bath City33%
Farnborough33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Farnborough
33%
Draw
33%
Bath City
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.47 xG for Farnborough and 1.10 xG for Bath City — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.37), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.57 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Bath City)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Bath City)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bath CityBath City
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Farnborough33%
Draw33%
Bath City33%

Bath City leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Farnborough vs Bath City: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Farnborough take on Bath City in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.47 for Farnborough and 1.10 for Bath City. The gap of 0.37 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows null have won 3 of the last 8 meetings — a competitive history that suggests null's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • Farnborough have been conceding 2.23 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 8 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Bath City

Bath City

L
vs Cardiff City U21
14 Jul 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Farnborough vs Bath City?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Farnborough vs Bath City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Farnborough vs Bath City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Farnborough vs Bath City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more