Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farense 4-0 Chaves
Original prediction
Farense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Farense
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Farense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FarenseLDWWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ChavesLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FarenseChaves
66.7Attack39.2
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power53.4
1.12xG0.87