Farense U23vs
Academico Viseu U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academico Viseu U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Farense U23 2-3 Academico Viseu U23
Original prediction
Academico Viseu U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.4% | 32.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 28.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.2% | 39.3% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Academico Viseu U23
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Academico Viseu U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40