Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FarDu 3-1 Shortan
Original prediction
Shortan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FarDuDWWWW
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ShortanWDWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FarDuShortan
57.8Attack51.1
51.1Defence68.9
57.8Form73.3
54.8Power66.9
1.11xG1.42