Fard Alborzvs
Shahin Bandar Ameri
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fard Alborz 0-0 Shahin Bandar Ameri, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fard Alborz 3-0 Shahin Bandar Ameri
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.2% | 32.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 32.1% | 34.3% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.6% | 33.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Fard Alborz 0–0 Shahin Bandar Ameri
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fard AlborzLDWDD
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Shahin Bandar AmeriWDDDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Fard AlborzShahin Bandar Ameri
16.7Attack41.7
83.3Defence75.0
41.7Form50.0
50.3Power57.4
0.65xG0.69