Fard Alborzvs
Havadar
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/26/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fard Alborz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fard Alborz 1-0 Havadar, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fard Alborz 2-0 Havadar
Original prediction
Fard Alborz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.0% | 41.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.2% | 31.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.8% | 27.0% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Fard Alborz 1–0 Havadar
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Fard Alborz
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Fard Alborz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fard AlborzLWLDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HavadarLDLLL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Fard AlborzHavadar
38.9Attack5.6
66.7Defence55.6
44.4Form11.1
51.0Power27.6
1.15xG0.51