Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAR Rabat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FAR Rabat 2-1 Korhogo
Original prediction
FAR Rabat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.6% | 44.0% | -31.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.34 | 16.8% | 27.0% | 10.2 pts |
| Away | 11.93 | 7.5% | 29.0% | 21.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
FAR Rabat
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
FAR Rabat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FAR RabatDDWWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KorhogoDDDLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FAR RabatKorhogo
0.0Attack44.4
100.0Defence77.8
33.3Form55.6
45.3Power60.9
0.97xG1.06