Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ibri · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fanja 0-0 Ibri
Original prediction
Ibri
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.8% | 30.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.8% | 30.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.5% | 39.3% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Ibri
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Ibri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FanjaLWLDL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
IbriDDLLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FanjaIbri
0.0Attack55.6
66.7Defence77.8
11.1Form44.4
29.5Power56.8
0.87xG1.16