Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fana 5-2 Åsane II
Original prediction
Fana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.4% | 54.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.26 | 17.3% | 21.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.3% | 24.5% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
Fana
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Fana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FanaLWWWD
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Åsane IIDLLDW
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FanaÅsane II
100.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence8.3
66.7Form33.3
74.3Power44.6
3.55xG1.97