Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fana 2-2 Brann II
Original prediction
Fana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.9% | 53.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.6% | 22.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.5% | 24.1% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Fana
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Fana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FanaWWLWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Brann IILLLLD
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FanaBrann II
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power7.0
3.20xG1.55