Portugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Famalicão U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.8% | 40.3% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.6% | 28.4% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.7% | 31.3% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–08%
Predicted outcome
Famalicão U23
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Famalicão U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Famalicão U23WWWLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
União Leiria U23LWDLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Famalicão U23União Leiria U23
100.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
32.0Power45.9
1.35xG1.28