Famalicão U23vs
Estrela U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Famalicão U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Famalicão U23 2-1 Estrela U23
Original prediction
Famalicão U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.1% | 43.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 27.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.6% | 29.0% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Famalicão U23
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Famalicão U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40