Famalicão U19vs
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Famalicão U19 3-1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Original prediction
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.1% | 29.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 28.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.5% | 41.6% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20