Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 202609:00Last updated 12:40
Famalicao

Famalicao

Home
W
10
Full time
Tondela

Tondela

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Tondela33%
Famalicao33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Famalicao
33%
Draw
33%
Tondela
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Famalicao
34
Tondela
34
Defence
Famalicao
91
Tondela
91
Momentum
Famalicao
100
Tondela
100
Danger (xG)
Famalicao
0.90
Tondela
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Famalicao)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Tondela)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Famalicao)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Tondela)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FamalicaoFamalicao
WDD
TondelaTondela
WLW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Famalicao33%
Draw33%
Tondela33%

Tondela leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Famalicao head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Tondela arrive in mixed form (W). Famalicao have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Tondela over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Famalicao (91/100) and Tondela (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Famalicao have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Tondela have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Famalicao and Tondela in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Famalicao 3333%, Draw 3333%, Tondela 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Famalicao

Famalicao

W
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
15 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Alverca
16 May 2026
00
D
@ Estrela
11 May 2026
00
Tondela

Tondela

W
vs Varzim
15 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Arouca
16 May 2026
13
W
vs Moreirense
11 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Famalicao vs Tondela?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs Tondela?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Famalicao vs Tondela?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Famalicao vs Tondela?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more