Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Falu BS 2-2 Täby
Original prediction
Falu BS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.2% | 43.7% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.4% | 25.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.4% | 30.8% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Falu BSWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TäbyDWLLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Falu BSTäby
53.3Attack58.3
66.7Defence65.0
66.7Form56.7
63.2Power60.0
1.25xG1.08