Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Falu BS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sunnersta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 78.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80