Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Falu BS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Skiljebo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00