Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Falu BS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Järfälla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40