Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Falu BS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Helges are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold a 38.1-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
86.5%
Model confidence
14.8%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 0 · GA 16 · avg 0.00/3.20