Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Falu BS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gute are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40