GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/22/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Falkirk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Falkirk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Stirling Albion are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Falkirk hold a 40.2-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.0% in the League One, while Falkirk holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Falkirk

Probability

85.0%

Model confidence

85.0%

Falkirk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FalkirkDWWLD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Stirling AlbionLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FalkirkStirling Albion
88.9Attack35.1
74.1Defence47.4
83.3Form35.1
80.7Power40.5
3.03xG0.45
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