Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Falkirk 1-2 Rangers
Original prediction
Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.01 | 18.8% | 30.0% | 11.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 22.5% | 27.1% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 58.8% | 42.9% | -15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FalkirkLDLWD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RangersWLWWD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FalkirkRangers
11.1Attack33.3
55.6Defence66.7
11.1Form44.4
29.5Power51.1
1.10xG1.21