Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Falkirk 0-0 Dundee, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Falkirk 1-2 Dundee
Original prediction
Dundee
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 47.1% | 33.7% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.4% | 29.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 26.5% | 36.7% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Projected Score
Falkirk 0–0 Dundee
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Dundee
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Dundee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FalkirkDWDLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
DundeeWLDLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FalkirkDundee
28.6Attack42.9
57.1Defence66.7
28.6Form47.6
41.1Power53.9
0.79xG1.12