GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Falkirk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Falkirk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Annan Athletic are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Falkirk hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.8% in the League One, while Falkirk holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Falkirk

Probability

85.8%

Model confidence

85.8%

Falkirk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FalkirkWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Annan AthleticLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FalkirkAnnan Athletic
88.9Attack50.9
74.1Defence37.0
83.3Form36.1
80.7Power43.3
3.60xG0.66
View match centre →