Falkenbergs FFvs
Ostersunds FK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falkenbergs FF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Falkenbergs FF 0-0 Ostersunds FK
Original prediction
Falkenbergs FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.5% | 42.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.3% | 25.9% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.2% | 31.7% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Falkenbergs FF
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Falkenbergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40