GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Falkenbergs FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Falkenbergs FF 4-1 IK brage

Original prediction

Falkenbergs FF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0245.7%58.8%13.1 pts
Draw3.4826.5%19.2%-7.3 pts
Away3.3127.9%22.0%-5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.1–18%

Predicted outcome

Falkenbergs FF

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Falkenbergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Falkenbergs FFLDWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IK brageLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Falkenbergs FFIK brage
61.7Attack56.7
51.7Defence36.7
58.3Form35.0
58.7Power44.1
2.64xG1.43
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