Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falcon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Falcon are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Retrô are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Falcon hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Serie D, while Falcon holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falcon
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Falcon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50