Fakelvs
Rodina Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fakel · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fakel 0-1 Rodina Moskva
Original prediction
Fakel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 46.3% | 41.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 28.3% | 27.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 25.4% | 31.3% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Fakel
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Fakel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FakelWWLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Rodina MoskvaDLLLW
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FakelRodina Moskva
24.2Attack36.4
42.4Defence18.2
18.2Form18.2
31.0Power28.2
1.30xG1.14