Fakelvs
FC Vitebsk
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fakel 0-1 FC Vitebsk, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fakel 1-0 FC Vitebsk
Original prediction
FC Vitebsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 56.1% | 32.7% | -23.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 23.1% | 27.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.8% | 40.2% | 19.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.4 pts
Projected Score
Fakel 0–1 FC Vitebsk
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FC Vitebsk
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
FC Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FakelLDLDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC VitebskWDLWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FakelFC Vitebsk
38.5Attack80.0
66.7Defence76.7
53.8Form70.0
55.6Power73.5
0.71xG1.57