Fakelvs
FC Orenburg
SCHEDULEDRussia · Premier League · 8/22/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fakel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fakel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Orenburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and fC Orenburg hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring Fakel with 12.9% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fakel
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
12.9%
Fakel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60