Fakelvs
FC Krasnodar
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Krasnodar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fakel 1-1 FC Krasnodar
Original prediction
FC Krasnodar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.54 | 20.6% | 29.0% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 25.0% | 27.8% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 54.4% | 43.2% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Krasnodar
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20