Premier LeaguePremier League
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Fakel

Fakel

Home
L
12
Full time
Dinamo Makhachkala

Dinamo Makhachkala

Away
WL
Fakel Stadium
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Fakel(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Fakel
41%
Draw
25%
Dinamo Makhachkala
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Fakel
34
Dinamo Makhachkala
54
Defence
Fakel
27
Dinamo Makhachkala
46
Momentum
Fakel
0
Dinamo Makhachkala
50
Danger (xG)
Fakel
0.90
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Fakel)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Dinamo Makhachkala)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Fakel)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Dinamo Makhachkala)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FakelFakel
LW
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
WLD

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Fakel41%
Draw25%
Dinamo Makhachkala34%

Fakel leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Fakel head into this in Premier League fixture at Fakel Stadium in mixed form (L), while Dinamo Makhachkala arrive in mixed form (WL). Fakel have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Dinamo Makhachkala over 2 games.

Tactically, Dinamo Makhachkala hold the edge. Their decent attack (54/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Fakel defence (27/100), while Fakel's attack faces a average Dinamo Makhachkala backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Fakel have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Dinamo Makhachkala have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Fakel and Dinamo Makhachkala in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Fakel to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Fakel 4138%, Draw 2489%, Dinamo Makhachkala 3373%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Fakel

Fakel

L
@ FC Rostov
15 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
16 May 2026
30
Dinamo Makhachkala

Dinamo Makhachkala

W
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
16 Jul 2026
31
L
@ Zenit
1 Jul 2026
02
D
vs Spartak Moscow
17 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

GoalVio's model predicts Fakel to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more