FakelvsFC Orenburg

Fakel are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Orenburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Orenburg hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Premier League, while Fakel holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.