Youth ChampionshipYouth Championship
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:04
Fakel U19

Fakel U19

Home
L
12
Full time
Zenit U19

Zenit U19

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
Zenit U19(53%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Zenit U19
Win probability
Fakel U19
12%
Draw
35%
Zenit U19
53%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Fakel U19
34
Zenit U19
73
Defence
Fakel U19
27
Zenit U19
66
Momentum
Fakel U19
0
Zenit U19
100
Danger (xG)
Fakel U19
0.90
Zenit U19
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Fakel U19)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Zenit U19)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Fakel U19)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Zenit U19)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Fakel U19Fakel U19
LL
Zenit U19Zenit U19
WL

Probability breakdown

54% confidence
Fakel U1912%
Draw35%
Zenit U1953%

Zenit U19 leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Fakel U19 head into this in Youth Championship fixture in mixed form (L), while Zenit U19 arrive in mixed form (W). Fakel U19 have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Zenit U19 over 1 games.

Tactically, Zenit U19 hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Fakel U19 defence (27/100), while Fakel U19's attack faces a solid Zenit U19 backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Fakel U19 have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Zenit U19 have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Zenit U19 have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Zenit U19 to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Fakel U19 1192%, Draw 3500%, Zenit U19 5308%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Fakel U19 0Draws 01 Zenit U19
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Fakel U19
L12
Zenit U19

Recent form

Fakel U19

Fakel U19

L
vs Zenit U19
17 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Chertanovo U20
15 May 2026
12
Zenit U19

Zenit U19

W
@ Fakel U19
17 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19
15 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fakel U19 vs Zenit U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Zenit U19 to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Fakel U19 vs Zenit U19?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Fakel U19 vs Zenit U19?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fakel U19 vs Zenit U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more