GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 7/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fakel U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fakel U19 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Rubin Kazan U20 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin Kazan U20 hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Youth Championship, while Fakel U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fakel U19

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Fakel U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fakel U19DL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Rubin Kazan U20L

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Fakel U19Rubin Kazan U20
38.6Attack42.1
31.6Defence29.8
19.3Form26.3
32.9Power35.2
1.76xG1.63
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