Fakel U19vs
Rostov U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fakel U19 2-0 Rostov U19
Original prediction
Rostov U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 22.0% | 24.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 21.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.8% | 54.3% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Rostov U19
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Rostov U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40