Fakel U19vs
Dinamo Moskva U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fakel U19 0-1 Dinamo Moskva U19
Original prediction
Dinamo Moskva U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.95 | 23.0% | 28.7% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 24.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.9% | 46.5% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Moskva U19
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Dinamo Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20