Fajr Sepasivs
Paykan
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/19/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fajr Sepasi 0-0 Paykan, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fajr Sepasi 2-0 Paykan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.4% | 31.1% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 34.8% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.2% | 34.1% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Fajr Sepasi 0–0 Paykan
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fajr SepasiWLLDD
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PaykanDLWLD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Fajr SepasiPaykan
25.0Attack25.0
58.3Defence70.8
41.7Form37.5
43.9Power46.6
0.57xG0.65