Fajr Sepasivs
Mes Shahr-e Babak
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 9/3/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fajr Sepasi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fajr Sepasi 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fajr Sepasi 1-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak
Original prediction
Fajr Sepasi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.8% | 43.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.4% | 31.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.40 | 20.8% | 24.9% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Projected Score
Fajr Sepasi 0–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Fajr Sepasi
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Fajr Sepasi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50