Fagiano Okayamavs
Vissel Kobe
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/18/2026, 4:55:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vissel Kobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fagiano Okayama 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Original prediction
Vissel Kobe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 33.2% | 29.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 29.3% | 27.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 37.5% | 43.7% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Vissel Kobe
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00